
Friday, May 1, 2009
Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Facebook Brain Drain
More here.
Monday, April 20, 2009
Reflexive Rebound
full post here.
Negative Interest Rates
NY Times article here.
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Finally...
- are unable to fit into a single seat in the ticketed cabin;
- are unable to properly buckle the seatbelt using a single seatbelt extender; and/or
- are unable to put the seat's armrests down when seated.
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Dubai is NOT Where it is At.
Full story here.
"On the night of December 31, 2008 alone more than 80 vehicles were found at the airport. "Sixty cars were seized on the first day of this year," director general of Airport Security, Mohammed Bin Thani, told DNA over the phone. On the same day, deputy director of traffic, colonel Saif Mohair Al Mazroui, said they seized 22 cars abandoned at a prohibited area in the airport."
Full story here.
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Lehman Does it Again
It's sort of odd that Lehman is "sitting on 500,000 pounds" of yellowcake uranium. Not because it is odd for firms not directly in the business to own an interest in the element. This is quite common actually as uranium futures are actually traded now. What is unusual is that Lehman would seem to have taken physical delivery- a scenario which would imply licensing and a host of regulatory headaches that seem silly when you can trade cash settled futures contracts if you really want to play the metal. In any case, Lehman acquired the stuff "under a matured commodities contract." (Read: The contract expired and they were forced to accept physical delivery). Now they are stuck with a pile of the stuff in Canada- where no one wants it, and in a down market.
Doh.
Tax Freedom Day
Link.
Facts About Marriage
Full interview with Book Author here.
Book by Andrew Cherin here.
Spring
Book here.
Lobbying
In a remarkable illustration of the power of lobbying in Washington, a study released last week found that a single tax break in 2004 earned companies $220 for every dollar they spent on the issue -- a 22,000 percent rate of return on their investment.
The study by researchers at the University of Kansas underscores the central reason that lobbying has become a $3 billion-a-year industry in Washington: It pays. The $787 billion stimulus act and major spending proposals have ratcheted up the lobbying frenzy further this year, even as President Obama and public-interest groups press for sharper restrictions on the practice.
From Washington Post.
Trivia Question
Answer here.
Sunday, April 12, 2009
Friday, April 10, 2009
Thursday, April 9, 2009
Last 6 Books
- Catcher in the Rye
- Great Gatsby
- House of Cards
- American Psycho
- The Great Contraction, 1929-1933: Chapter Seven of Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960
- The Brothers Karamazov
Wednesday, April 8, 2009
A Perishable History
Last week’s post talked about early-20th-century “egg gamblers” who bought eggs cheap in spring in order to sell dear in winter. Their kind of speculation proved not just controversial but also pretty risky, and ultimately doomed. Why?
Egg gamblers won only if they sold off their cold-storage stocks before fresh ones arrived in spring. They faced two major unknowns: housewives who sometimes protested egg “hoarding” with organized boycotts, and hens who might start laying earlier than expected. Because hens are acutely sensitive to shifts in daylight and temperature, all it took was a February thaw to set them off, sending egg prices plummeting.
Poultry farmers, meanwhile, just wanted to know how to get their own flocks to lay more eggs when fresh ones were scarcest and priciest. They knew that some chicken breeds laid a few more winter eggs than others, and that warm housing and a rich diet generally helped. But the most dramatic results came with the flick of a switch — literally. Read more…
Tuesday, April 7, 2009
Troubles for the Class of '09
Visit msnbc.com for Breaking News, World News, and News about the Economy
The Most Neurotic States
There is much more here on the geographic distribution of other major personality traits. The high conscientious people seem to cluster in the Plains. Openness is strong in the Pacific West, New England, Texas, and Florida. The upper Midwest dominates for extroversion.Monday, April 6, 2009
Internet Perusing
Friday, April 3, 2009
Wednesday, April 1, 2009
Sham Pow
Read more here.
Jay Leno
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Liberals and Taxes
Complete analysis here.
Game Theory in Geithner's Plan
Let's say that I am a bank ("financial institution") with $100 billion in "toxic assets". I have them on my balance sheet at 80 cents on the dollar. The market has them marked at 30 cents. We do not know what the held-to-maturity performance will be, since that requires knowing the future, although for the moment let's assume that they are cash-flowing at the present time.
What I (the bank) do know, however, is that if I sell them at 30 cents I take a monstrous loss - perhaps enough to force me under Tier Capital limits and thus render me subject to an FDIC enforcement action. I therefore will not sell for 30 cents so long as I have any belief whatsoever that the cash flow - or any government subsidy - will exceed that value.
If I, as a "financial institution" can participate as a bidder in these auctions I can foist off my loss onto the taxpayer. Here is how I can rig the game so as to avoid an otherwise-inevitable loss:
- I become a "bidder" and "bid" on my own assets at 75 cents.
- I am providing 5 or 10% of the money. The rest is covered by Treasury, The Fed and the FDIC via guaranteed bond issuance.
- The loan, ex my contribution, is non-recourse. That is, I can lose 5 or 10% of the total portfolio purchased, but nothing more.
Now the "assets" (a passel of CDOs?) turn out to be worthless. I lose 5% of $75 billion, or $3.75 billion that I put up, plus the other nickel on the original mark, but that's all.
The taxpayer gets hosed for the remaining $71.25 billion dollars.
This can and will be done if the "sellers" of these assets are allowed to bid either directly or indirectly as it provides a means for banks to intentionally dump bad assets at a certain loss that is much smaller than their expected realized loss over time, shifting the rest of the loss to the taxpayer.
This program has the potential to shift literally $500 billion or more in losses onto the taxpayer, not through the operation of "bad luck" but rather through what amounts to a bid rigging operation.
Do Men and Women Read Books Differently?
A study of reading habits showed almost half of women are 'page turners' who finish a book soon after starting it compared to only 26 per cent of men.
The survey 2,000 adults also found those who take a long time to read books and only managed one or two a year were twice as likely to be male than female.
Men are also more likely to have shelves full of books that have never been opened.
The only similarities between the sexes came among those who have two books on the bedside table at once and who start one book on the middle of reading another, switching easily. Twelve per cent of women were in this category – exactly the same number as men.
Monday, March 23, 2009
Outsourced Cheating
More here.
Trvial Pursuit
More here.
Grade Inflation
A: If your answer is "make the test easier," go to the head of the class!
Watch a disturbing video on the decline in math skills for college students (click twice on the arrow above), with an explanation for why it has been happening ("reform math"), and some ways to solve the problem (abandon "reform math").
Sarcastic Twist to Default Swaps
Continued here.
Everyone Hates a Public/Private Partnership
Read here.
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
KYS

Iowa Sen. Charles Grassley suggests AIG executives should take a Japanese approach toward accepting responsibility for the collapse of the insurance giant by resigning or killing themselves.
Read Here.
Mainstream Media
Monday, March 16, 2009
Why Are Diamonds So Expensive
Circa 1982
Business School

The master’s of business administration, a gateway credential throughout corporate America, is especially coveted on Wall Street; in recent years, top business schools have routinely sent more than 40 percent of their graduates into the world of finance.
But with the economy in disarray and so many financial firms in free fall, analysts, and even educators themselves, are wondering if the way business students are taught may have contributed to the most serious economic crisis in decades.
Everyone Hates Ethanol
Americans are unlikely to use enough gas next year to absorb the 13 billion gallons of ethanol that Congress mandated, because current regulations limit the ethanol content in each gallon of gas at 10%. The industry is asking that this cap be lifted to 15% or even 20%. That way, more ethanol can be mixed with less gas, and producers won't end up with a glut that the government does not require anyone to buy.
Friday, March 13, 2009
Thursday, March 12, 2009
15 Strangest College Courses
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Reading the Morning News
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Mancession Continued

According to Friday's BLS report (Table A-1, Household Data), the U.S. economy has lost 4.464 million jobs since Dec. 2007. Further analysis shows that 72% of the job losses (3.483 million) were jobs held by males, and 22% of the jobs lost (981,000) were jobs held by females (see top chart above). Of the 351,000 decline in February employment (household data), 90% of the job losses were male jobs (315,000), compared to a 37,000 job loss for females (10% of total).
Further, the February unemployment rate for men was 8.8% vs. 7.3% for women, as the 1.5% male-female gap narrowed just slightly from the all-time historical record male-female jobless rate gap of 1.6% in January.
Nobel Prize Winner Has "Inflation" by the Balls
This is a bull named ‘Inflation’ — named “Inflation” because the beast never stopped growing. There on the left is Nobel Prize winner Friedrich Hayek, who’s got Inflation by the balls. The picture was taken by Australian driller Ron Kitching after Mrs. Kitching objected to the idea of a picture of Hayek on top of Inflation. The picture was taken in 1976.American Demographics
Lots of Graphs.
So European
Helg Sgarbi admitted seducing heiress Susanne Klatten and three other wealthy women and persuading them to pay him almost 10 million euros ($12.64 million) with various tales, including one that he had fallen foul of the Italian mafia."
Source: Reuters.
*Update* Pictures.
Friday, March 6, 2009
Big Law Firm's Leverage Problem
Now, in times where there is an easy supply of
Entire post from The Atlantic can be found here.
Thursday, March 5, 2009
Economic Value of Popularity
They find that each extra close friend in high school is associated with earnings that are 2 percent higher later in life after controlling for other factors. While not a huge effect, it does suggest that either that a) the same factors that make you popular in high school help you in a job setting, or b) that high-school friends can do you favors later in life that will earn you higher wages.
Read his caveats as well. I would like to know more about the shape of the distribution. I would think that the most popular people achieve only mediocre results, whereas the very high earners are either loners (but not necessarily "unpopular" in the sense of being disliked) or had above-average popularity but not extreme popularity. Too much popularity too early produces the feeling that other things will come easily, too easily.
Wednesday, March 4, 2009
Monday, March 2, 2009
Friday, February 27, 2009
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Monday, February 23, 2009
Saturday, February 21, 2009
Thursday, February 19, 2009
Monday, February 16, 2009
How The World Almost Came to an End
Interestingly, Kanjorski, and likely more and more Democrats, are starting to shift to the camp that more time is needed to make a correct decision this time (which may explain Geithner's decision to postpone the "bank-rescue" announcement by one day to Tuesday), instead of rushing into another half-baked plan. Very scary stuff.On Thursday (Sept 18), at 11am the Federal Reserve noticed a tremendous draw-down of money market accounts in the U.S., to the tune of $550 billion was being drawn out in the matter of an hour or two. The Treasury opened up its window to help and pumped a $105 billion in the system and quickly realized that they could not stem the tide. We were having an electronic run on the banks. They decided to close the operation, close down the money accounts and announce a guarantee of $250,000 per account so there wouldn't be further panic out there.
If they had not done that, their estimation is that by 2pm that afternoon, $5.5 trillion would have been drawn out of the money market system of the U.S., would have collapsed the entire economy of the U.S., and within 24 hours the world economy would have collapsed. It would have been the end of our economic system and our political system as we know it.We are no better off today than we were 3 months ago because we have a decrease in the equity positions of banks because other assets are going sour by the moment.
A Happy Banking Tale
A few weeks ago, while reading a newspaper article, Price came up with an ingenious plan for how to use it.
The article was about the reluctance of people to buy a house in the current market, and what kinds of incentives had been used successfully by builders and bankers to get them to close a deal. Two stood out: lower rates and the waiving of closing costs. And that got Price to thinking: What if Citizens were to use its federal bailout money to offer below-market mortgage rates with no closing costs to consumers who would buy a house, or a house lot, from builders and developers who had borrowed money from Citizens?
Price asked some of his loan officers to check with the builders and developers, who not surprisingly were excited enough about the project to be willing to chip in some money to help cover a portion of the forgone closing costs. So last week, Citizens launched its marketing campaign for the $20.5 million program, in collaboration with its builder-developer customers, offering 30-year loans with an initial teaser rate of 3.5 percent for the first two years, rising to a fixed 5.5 percent rate (the current market rate) for the balance of the loan.
“As we see it, it’s a win-win-win situation all round,” Price explained to me.
Pearlstein is particularly impressed that Price’s total pay package last year was just $456,146, a rounding error for most of the eight banking kings who came to talk to Congress. This leads Pearlstein to deliver a zesty kicker to his column:
So here’s a question the House Financial Services Committee might put to the Titans of Finance: How is it that Kim Price, a community banker with an undergraduate degree from Appalachian State University, a tiny executive staff, and a pay package that you would consider insulting, somehow managed to come up with a more creative use for his government bailout money than any of you?Sunday, February 15, 2009
Michael Lewis Commentary
Source: Bloomberg
Quote of the Day
~P.J. O'Rourke
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Monday, February 9, 2009
Sunday, February 8, 2009
Madoff Client List
Saturday, February 7, 2009
Friday, February 6, 2009
How Much Does it Cost to Apologize for Porn?
The company is paying each of its affected customer a $10 refund.
This begs the question: How did they decide $10 was the correct amount?
Furthermore, if $10 is Comcast’s estimation of the damage 30 seconds of porn incurred on the average viewer, should it have paid more to families watching the game with small children, or since the porn clip interrupted the game right after Larry Fitzgerald’s last touchdown in the game, Cardinals Fans?
And most important, what about the people who enjoy porn? Should they send back the refund, or perhaps with an extra dollar or two?
The "Man-Cession"

According to today's BLS Labor Report, the gap between the male jobless rate (8.3%) and female jobless rate (6.7%) widened to 1.6%, which is the largest male-female jobless rate gap in BLS history (back to 1948).
Wednesday, February 4, 2009
From the Depths of the Internet
- Cattle that are named and treated with a "more personal touch" can increase milk yields by up to 500 pints a year.
- Extremely interesting look into the American consumer. (If you haven't heard of Mint.com, check it out. A very easy, informative, and secure way to maintain your personal finances.)
- Top 10 most worthless currencies of all time.
Tuesday, February 3, 2009
The More You Know...
*Update*: Virginia Tax Office had the instrumental Pretty Ricky beat, Yes Sirrr.
Virginia Tax > IRS
Unfounded Rumor
So, go down in a plane on biz and you owe your firm the $450 ticket refund check. Nice to know.
Monday, February 2, 2009
Cruel & Unusual
According to court papers and a report from the Equal Justice Initiative, which now represents Mr. Sullivan, there are only eight people in the world who are serving sentences of life without parole for crimes they committed when they were 13. All are in the United States.
And there are only two people in that group whose crimes did not involve a killing. Both are in Flo-rida.
Menstrual Site for Men
PMSBuddy.com is a free service created with a single goal in mind: to keep you aware of when your wife, girlfriend, mother, sister, daughter, or any other women in your life are closing in on “that time of the month” - when things can get intense for what may seem to be no reason at all.
Note that they are smart enough to not include “employees” in the list of women to keep an eye on.
The Eureka Hunt
The New Yorker: July 28, 2008
"...The resulting studies, published in 2004 and 2006, found that people who solved puzzles with insight activated a specific subset of cortical areas. Although the answer seemed to appear out of nowhere, the mind was carefully preparing itself for the breakthrough. The suddenness of the insight is preceded by a burst of brain activity. A small fold of tissue on the surface of the right hemisphere, the anterior superior temporal gyrus (aSTG), becomes unusually active in the second before the insight. Once the brain is sufficiently focused on the problem, the cortex needs to relax, to seek out the more remote association in the right hemisphere that will provide the insight. As Kounios sees it, the insight process is an act of cognitive deliberation transformed by accidental, serendipitous connections..."
Mortgage Meltdown V2
Will Borrowers Walk Away or Wait for Appreciation to Return?
- In Massachusetts only 6% did so in a 1992-2007 study
- But the situation is far worse today with 18% of all loans having negative equity and another 23% are nearly so
- LTV (loan to value) averages 66% nationally with 10 states at 75% plus
- Nevada and Michigan, negative equity borrowers exceed 80%
Coming Wave of Option ARMs (adjustable rate mortgages):
From 2009-2011, an estimated $1.88b in option ARMs will recast
Breakdown
- $80mm in Q4 2008
- $575mm total for 2008
- $804mm total for 2009
Specific Cases:
Countrywide
- 72% of borrowers were making lest than full interest payments
- 83% received loans with little or no documentation
Wachovia
- 45% of $122b in their loan portfolio consist of option ARM loans
Mortgage Payments Will Rise by 50% in 2010 and Double by 2011:





























